The Conservation of Energy is one of the fundamental laws of our physical universe. Energy can be neither created nor destroyed. It can - and is - transformed continuously from one form to another. Potential energy to kinetic energy. Heat to work. Work to motion. Energy moves constantly through our universe making the universe as we know it possible.
I sometimes think of technology in its broadest sense as a form of energy. While it gives the illusion of having been created through countless inventions, new technology always comes from a convergence of older technologies which make the new technology possible. It is a flow, not an aggregation of static ideas. In the 18th Century, a new understanding of steam and other gases opened the door for the first steam engines to pump water from mine pits. Coal powered not only the first steam engines but it also made possible the scientific fabrication of steel. Steel and the steam engine opened the door to manufacturing on an industrial scale.
In the 19th Century, iron and steel and the steam engine morphed into a revolutionary form of transportation - the railroad. With the easy movement of goods and people, more trade evolved. The movement of goods and people became faster and cheaper. Costs dropped dramatically as manufacturing increased in scale. For the first time, almost everyone in the 19th Century owned at least something that was factory made.
Paralleling the advances in manufacturing and transportation came equal advances in communications, illumination, and motors - all based on a growing knowledge of electricity. The telegraph made communications across long distances virtually instantaneous. Eventually, transoceanic cables made the world a much smaller place. As the century progressed, people wanted the electric lights, telephones, and electric street cars made possible through new technology. By 1900, the world was poised to explode on a wave of mass production facilitated by transportation, communication, and distribution networks.
The early parts of the the 20th Century were dominated by the emergence of the automobile. The lure of being able to travel where you wanted when you wanted, free of the train and trolley schedules, was irresistible to anyone who could afford a car. New and better roads led to everything from suburban living to extended vacation travel across the country. Mass consumption demanded a ready-made mass market which was created by raising consumer advertising to a virtual science. Now, people commonly owned the products of technology - radios, refrigerators, washing machines, irons, and telephones. Not only did people buy these products but an ever-wider array of choices became available. There were products for people to buy not just for their function but as symbols of a rising status in the world.
The 20th Century unleashed people's feelings of autonomy. They could travel when they wanted, where they wanted. They could listen to any number of radio programs, choose the style of clothing that suited them best, and furnish their homes with a seemingly-endless array of consumer goods. After World War II, new technologies and mass consumption kicked into yet a higher gear. Radio gave way to television. Live broadcasting was supplemented with video tapes and DVDs. A panoply of cable channels supplemented the major television networks. Music was unfettered from the home and car radio and became a more personal and portable form of entertainment through the Walkman and later the iPod. Electronics opened the floodgates to affordable information technologies starting with the personal computer which morphed into the internet and then to the wireless world of smart phones in an endless variety of models and capabilities.
We stand at the doorway of the 21st Century which will surely be the age of ubiquitous and constant information. Everything will communicate in some way with everything else. Information will wrap the planet in a garment of bits so thick that we will no longer remember what it was like to have to write a physical letter, or find a pay-phone, or do our taxes by hand and mail them at the post office (which may also disappear).
The advances of the last three centuries have been mind-boggling. We have gone from a mostly agrarian world to a predominantly urban and connected culture. But each advance has carried its own costs - its own Conservation of Good and Bad. As people moved to the mill towns of the 18th century, they lost their independence and became dependent on the mill owners for a (usually poor) wage. The air became fouled with smoke and pollution. The density of housing with poor sanitation brought epidemics of disease. Eventually, of course, the worst of these ills of the mill towns started to be addressed - by new and better technology. Technologies moved on but so did the side effects.
In the 19th Century, more and more people gave up the farm for the factory, for what clearly seemed to be a better way of life. The route to prosperity was through the middle class with its better wages and better education for the children. More people worked for larger companies which, with the advent of the railroads, gave rise to the modern corporation. People were no longer just owners or laborers but occupied intermediate rungs on the corporate ladder. Time became regulated by the clock to dictate everything from the hours of work to the schedules of the trains. The world became more networked with the sharing of stock prices by ticker tape and the creation of world time zones to unify travel and communication. Cities grew ever larger and more congested.
The 20th Century gave people a sense of autonomy while at the same time making them evermore interconnected and interdependent. There were more choices of products but fewer choices on how to earn a living without being part of the interconnected web of commerce. The population continued to grow and with it came more cars and traffic jams, more need for electricity and more air pollution. The world was both much richer and much more complex than ever before.
Now we face the Knowledge Age with only the slightest grasp of how pervasive and powerful it will become in our lives. We gain a sense of exponential connectivity while at the same time we face the specter of losing our privacy almost completely. We will live in a world where our actions and intentions become the stuff of marketing research and directed advertising. Our children will never know what it was like to live in the Prewired World - and likely they would not choose to live there if they could.
We live in a world where we are becoming increasingly inseparable from the technology that we create and that surrounds us. This is not necessarily a bad thing but it should give us at least some pause for thought. Can we control our technology or has it moved beyond our control into a stage of evolution that is almost biological in form? Technologies now define us, define how we work and how we play. We use communications technology ubiquitously. We social networker on Facebook, Google, and Twitter. We are hooked to our iPhone even while we watch a movie in a theater. We drive and talk on our cell phones and think nothing of it. Technologies make our everyday life possible. Do we know how many functions in our automobiles are now controlled by computers? Digital electronics run our refrigerators and even our furnaces. We have crossed the threshold and there is no going back. But this is not a new phenomenon. The same was true a century ago - just to a lesser degree. We live in a world that is evermore shaped by our own hands and minds but that same technology is now shaping us. We may no longer be masters of our own destiny. Ready or not, Technologies R'Us.
Thursday, September 29, 2011
Wednesday, September 21, 2011
That Should Still Be Us
I saw an article in our local paper, the Raleigh News and Observer, entitled, Industries Fear New Wage Rules. The article was exploring the new wage rules that are being imposed by the Department of Labor on industries that hire immigrant workers on H2-B, temporary work visas. Wages are projected to increase, on average, almost 50 percent - from $7.43 an hour to $11.18 an hour under the new rules. The higher wage is in line with the minimum wage paid in most regions. The reporter interviewed a number of small industry owners such as oyster processors, reforestation services, and even hotel owners for the impact of the upcoming change in the law. Not surprisingly, the owners are not happy, feeling that the increase in the wages they will have to pay will drive many of them out of business. Not a good deal.
But what struck me in the story was a couple of paragraphs in the article:
Further on, the article states:
I read this article just after I finished reading Tom Friedman's and Michael Mandelbaum's new book, That Used to Be Us: How America Fell Behind in the World It Invented and How We Can Come Back. The authors of the book are trying to get us to focus on the multiple forces are in play that are causing us to slide from the leadership position we have enjoyed since at least the end of World War II.
The Big Challenges in their minds are:
To address these issues, they outline what they call the Five Pillars of Prosperity:
But what struck me in the story was a couple of paragraphs in the article:
Employers say that they rely on foreign workers for the dirty, back-breaking tasks that Americans aren't willing to do - even with the current high unemployment rate. And, they stress, they're required to document their efforts to hire Americans before the government permits them to hire foreign workers.
Further on, the article states:
Susan Pentz, 60, who along with her husband owns the 18-room Harborside Motel on Ocracoke Island, has been bringing in two housekeepers each tourist season for the past decade. She turned to foreign workers, she said, after struggling to hire locals and discovering that those she was able to hire soon quit or showed up only when they felt like it. "The bottom line is, I ended up cleaning the rooms because... no wanted to do that kind of manual labor," Perez said.
I read this article just after I finished reading Tom Friedman's and Michael Mandelbaum's new book, That Used to Be Us: How America Fell Behind in the World It Invented and How We Can Come Back. The authors of the book are trying to get us to focus on the multiple forces are in play that are causing us to slide from the leadership position we have enjoyed since at least the end of World War II.
The Big Challenges in their minds are:
- Globalization and the Information Technology Revolution
- The Return of Strong Middle Class Jobs
- Rising National Debt and the Deficit
- The Need for Green and Clean Energy
To address these issues, they outline what they call the Five Pillars of Prosperity:
- Providing much better public education for more and more Americans
- Continuing to build and modernize our infrastructure
- Keeping America's doors open to immigration
- Government support for basic R&D
- Implementing limited but necessary regulation on private economic activity
The authors make the case that we basically got fat and happy when we won the Cold War. At just that moment, we should have been redoubling our efforts to compete in a global economy. Instead, we borrowed our way to an unsustainable way of life. But the bills have now come due on both a personal and national level. Worse, the current political system is so broken as to prevent any meaningful action to address the Big Challenges.
Their solution? They think we need a strong, centrist, third-party Presidential candidate. They acknowledge from the outset that the candidate most likely won't win. But the candidate could force whoever does win to take note of their more centrist platforms. They even suggest three past third-party candidates who did just that - Theodore Roosevelt and his Bull Moose candidacy to continue to build Progressive reforms in 1912, George Wallace in 1968 who forced Washington to pay attention to the South, and Ross Perot in his 1992 bid to address national budget deficits (they didn't mention Ralph Nader). Each of these candidates caused the incoming President to enact reforms that the Third-Party candidate strongly campaigned to bring to the nation's attention. The authors call this strategy political Shock Therapy.
And what does all this have to do with the history of technology? Everything. This country was built on the backs of immigrant labor manning the steel mills and garment sweatshops. The entrepreneurs who built American business developed countless new technologies that changed our way of life. Think telephones, automobiles, televisions, personal computers, and cell phones. To make all of these objects that we now take for granted required more and more skilled labor in the factories. A Middle Class with rising expectations that their lives would be better, and their children's lives better yet, was born, at least in part from a strong public education system. By comparison, for the last decade, data indicates that the Middle Class has not advanced economically one dime. In fact, they may be worse off than they were ten years ago.
Technology and democracy have always played key roles in making the United States a place where people wanted to live. For many in the Third World, it still holds that attraction. But I agree with Friedman and Mandelbaum - something needs to change and change fast. We are well past the dithering stage.
The immigrant workers who come to North Carolina to take temporary jobs are looking for a better life, just as millions of immigrants did before them. They are willing to do what Americans are not, and I'm not just talking about the menial jobs they do. They are willing to leave their home country and families to try to make a little better living than they can at home. How many of our own, even highly-educated people, are willing to leave their country for better opportunities in China or India? Not as many as those who come the other way for poor wages and lousy living conditions.
Let's try to get technology back to producing the jobs we need to help all of us be in the position where we can look forward to a better future. We are still the best hope for a brighter world.
Sunday, September 4, 2011
Technology and the City: For Better and For Worse
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Roosevelt Center Greenbelt, MD |
This pattern was reinforced for me by a film I happened upon entitled simply The City. The film is a documentary created for the 1939 New York World's Fair City of Tomorrow which was part of the Futurama exhibit. The film was the brainchild of Catherine Bauer Wurster who was the leading member of a small group of idealists known as "The Housers" who were committed to improving housing for low-income families. The New York architect, Robert D. Kohn, shared her interest in low-income housing and commissioned the documentary.
The film focused much of its attention on the planned community of Greenbelt, Maryland which was constructed under Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal as a model community. The idea was to build an ideal community near Washington, D.C. to relieve a severe housing shortage in the area of the Capital which existed at that time. Two other cities were also planned and built - Greendale, Wisconsin (near Milwaukee) and Greenhills, Ohio (near Cincinnati).
The film was originally written by FDR's filmmaker, Pare Lorentz, but was re-scripted by the noted architectural critic and advocate of planned suburban communities, Lewis Mumford. Interestingly, the documentary's music was the first commissioned film score for composer Aaron Copeland and had largely been forgotten until this film was rediscovered in the archives a few years ago.
When I watched the film (which is available on YouTube in four parts), I was struck by how many of the problems we face today were already there in 1938: traffic congestion, over-crowding, air pollution, and terrible housing for low-income people. The model city of Greenbelt, MD looks like a little utopia compared to the squalor of the mill towns and the congestion of New York City. In many ways, however, the future longed for in the film has come to pass. Many of us live in nicely laid out suburban communities with good roads, schools, housing, and shopping. Yet many of the problems are still with us or have even grown worse over time. Despite our advancing technology, the city remains challenged to perpetually come up with new - mostly technical - solutions.
Quite coincidentally, the latest special issue of Scientific American is about the future of cities. Must be something in the air about cities lately. I keep coming across all these connections. In any event, the 1939 documentary is linked below. If you want a better view, click through to the YouTube site and watch the video.
Sunday, August 28, 2011
Creating the City
I like maps. Maybe it's a guy thing. Maybe maps appeal to my sense of organization. But whatever the reason, when I hear or see something related to an extensive map of a place, I get interested. I was even more interested to come across a short video on Vimeo that explores the maps of Jerry Gretzinger. Jerry didn't just draw an extensive map of an existing city, he created one, Ukrania, from scratch and he has been doing it over decades. Watch and see some real creativity in action!
Jerry's Map from Jerry Gretzinger on Vimeo.
Jerry's Map from Jerry Gretzinger on Vimeo.
Thursday, August 25, 2011
Self-Similarity: Fractals and People
Last night, I was watching a rerun of a PBS Nova program on fractals entitled, Hunting the Hidden Dimension. I don't think the full episode is online at the moment but you can see the trailer here. (As I look at the preview image below, the full episode may be available via the link below the preview).
Watch the full episode. See more NOVA.
The essence of fractals is the concept of self-similarity - the idea that patterns repeat themselves at ever smaller dimensions. The discoverer of fractals, Benoit Mandelbrot, was initially chastised by his mainstream mathematical colleagues as a bit of a nut. These patterns weren't real, they said, they were more like an entertaining parlor game. Those days are long gone, of course, and fractals (and their associated concept) Chaos theory are now being used to investigate everything from thunderstorms to heart arrhythmias. In fact, Mandelbrot's initial insight into the nature of fractals came from his investigation of noise patterns on long distance data transmission lines while at IBM Research Labs. The patterns are everywhere once you know how to look for them.
As I was listening to the narrator talk about Mandelbrot's initial rejection by his colleagues, I began to think about the nature of groups and how they come to all conform to certain ideas that make up the status quo. Could it be that groups of people follow some of the same concepts you find in fractals? Let's look at a couple of hypothetical examples.
What if you have two university professors, both highly respected in their fields. One carefully chooses his or her grad students on the basis that they are bright, are seemingly willing to take their direction very closely from the professor, and are relatively conformist in nature. The other professor also wants bright grad students but hires non-conformists and students that have some strong ideas of their own they want to pursue.
The first lab is going to really churn out productive research that augments the professors views. The ideas will be tight and reinforcing. The students are self-similar to the professor and so a pattern of conformity emerges. When they graduate, they go out into the academic world and what do they do? The look for students like themselves and the pattern is replicated again and again. The field begins to develop norms that are much based on self-similar thinking as they are on the underlying science.
The second professor has a few mavericks in his lab. Not everyone but a few. These people mix it up and challenge the professor and the other students to look at their way of seeing the problems. The lab is probably a little less successful at churning out papers but every now and then a new idea emerges that comes from the lack of self-similarity. After the mavericks graduate, they go forth in a new academic position and try to hire a few mavericks of their own. More new ideas emerge.
The reality of the way people are made is that far more of us are conformists than mavericks. It is much easier to get along in the world if you are self-similar than different. Hence, conformist thinking dominates and the Mandelbrot's of the world have to push back hard to be heard.
The same is true, by the way, in corporations. The pressure to conform to the company's culture can be very high in a large and established corporation. Certainly, you can see examples where this is not the case in tech startups but in general, once a company has a formula for making money, it likes to keep making money. The business leaders feel they know the formula and don't want to mess with it. Non-conformists are not welcome.
So the principle of self-similarity that drives fractals may also drive human group dynamics. Mavericks pay a high price for their independence. But in many cases, like that of Benoit Mandelbrot, the world is far better for it.
Wednesday, April 27, 2011
Pale Blue Dot Revisited
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Earth is barely visible as a pale blue dot in the red band on the right. |
The spacecraft was a long way from home, beyond the orbit of the outermost planet and high above the ecliptic plane - which is an imaginary flat surface that we can think of as something like a racetrack in which the orbits of the planets are mainly confined. The ship was speeding away from the sun at 40,000 miles per hour. But in early February 1990, it was overtaken by an urgent message from Earth.
Obediently, it turned its cameras back toward the now-distant planets. Slewing its scan platform from one spot in the sky to another, it snapped 60 pictures and stored them in digital form on its tape recorder. Then slowly, in March, April, and May, it radioed the data back to earth. Each image was composed of 640,000 individual picture elements ("pixels"), like the dots in a newspaper wirephoto or a pointillist painting. The spacecraft was 3.7 billion miles away from Earth, so far away that it took each pixel 5 1/2 hours, traveling at the speed of light, to reach us.
What the pictures showed was the Earth - just a pale blue dot in the black of the universe. Sagan's words have become the inspiration for many, including artists and filmmakers. I highlighted one such artist/filmmaker in an early post on the Symphony of Science. Recently, I came across another video on Vimeo by Michael Marantz using Sagan's words. Sagan himself provides the narration. Marantz shot the time-lapse images and composed and performed the music. I thought it might be worth sharing here. In these troubled and troubling times, a little perspective is useful. Hope you enjoy.
EARTH: The Pale Blue Dot from Michael Marantz on Vimeo.
Kudos to one of my favorite sites, Open Culture, for suggesting the idea for this blog.
Sunday, March 13, 2011
Even Subways Can Be Beautiful
I came across a couple of items recently that make me realize that even the mundane can be beautiful. The first is a photo from the Library of Congress's Detroit Photographic Company archives showing a 28th Street subway station in New York City when it was being newly constructed in 1904. The tile work in the domed ceiling and the woodwork in the ticket booth are beautiful.
The second was a more recent video made by Sarah Klein and Tom Mason, two filmmakers at Redglass. They describe the film as a visual poem of the experience of emerging from the subway into a new environment above. This film was taken in New York City and is set to music by Erik Satie.
Sub City New York from sarah klein on Vimeo.
[Thanks to BrainPickings for the video link].
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28th Street Station, New York City Subway, 1904 Click on photo to enlarge |
The second was a more recent video made by Sarah Klein and Tom Mason, two filmmakers at Redglass. They describe the film as a visual poem of the experience of emerging from the subway into a new environment above. This film was taken in New York City and is set to music by Erik Satie.
Sub City New York from sarah klein on Vimeo.
[Thanks to BrainPickings for the video link].
Wednesday, March 9, 2011
The Triangle Shirtwaist Fire
Watch the full episode. See more American Experience.
Three stories of ten-floor building at the corner of Greene Street and Washington Place were burned yesterday, and while the fire was going on 141 young men and women -- at least 125 of them mere girls -- were burned to death or killed by jumping to the pavement below.The building was fireproof. It shows now hardly any signs of the disaster that overtook it. The walls are as good as ever; so are the floors; nothing is the worse for the fire except the furniture and 141 of the 600 men and girls that were employed in its upper three stories.Most of the victims were suffocated or burned to death within the building, but some who fought their way to the windows and leaped met death as surely, but perhaps more quickly, on the pavements below. New York Times, March 26, 1911.
I had missed the recent American Experience film on the Triangle Shirtwaist Fire but I was able to view it on the PBS Video website. I highly recommend spending an hour watching it. This program seems to be all the more pertinent to me as I continue to read about the daily struggles of unionized government workers in many states - starting with Wisconsin. They are, of course, not fighting for safer working conditions but they are trying to hold onto long-fought-for collective bargaining rights. The bitter irony of the workers at the Triangle Shirtwaist Company is that even though they had led a strike by New York City garment workers in 1909 for union representation, they never achieved it for themselves. The owners, Isaac Harris and Max Blanck, would simply not permit any "meddling" in their control of the business. Harris and Blanck were later tried and acquitted of manslaughter charges connected to the fire. They went on to collect a lucrative insurance settlement and continued in the garment business. They were fined repeatedly for operating their factories under unsafe working conditions.
Asch Building in New York where fire occurred on second to top floor still stands today. Photo from Wikipedia. |
Society benefits greatly from technology. More often than not, that technology is made available through companies which compete fiercely against each other in the marketplace. The argument that nothing should fetter the owners of a business with regulatory burdens that might make them less competitive simply cannot be supported in the face of the tragic consequences that can so easily befall their employees. Reasonable regulations and collective bargaining are not evils. They are part of the cost of doing business in a complex society. It is always a balance. What should be regulated and what should be left to the market? What voice should workers have compared to owners or managers? While there is no lasting answer to these questions, it seems that we are once again tilting towards excessive power - and excessive rewards - on the side of owners and managers.
Thursday, February 17, 2011
Thinking Machines: For Better and For Worse
Our machines get ever more intelligent, or at least capable of doing more and more complex tasks. Whether this should be considered intelligence is a separate question. Last night, I saw two programs that brought this clearly into focus.
The first was the IBM Watson Challenge on Jeopardy. If you haven't been tracking this story, IBM has created a new computing system for its latest corporate Grand Challenge: a machine smart enough to understand Natural Language Processing (NLP). In past Grand Challenges, IBM created a chess-playing computer it named Big Blue which was able to beat Grand Chessmaster, Garry Kasparov, and another computer dubbed Blue Gene (Big Blue + Genome) which was used to sequence DNA. For the current challenge, the IBM team named their computer Watson after IBM founder Tom Watson whose standing directive to his employees was "Think". IBM's R&D lab wanted to take on a tough challenge and they felt that hardly anything could be tougher for a computer than being able to compete successfully on the television quiz-show, Jeopardy. Who isn't familiar with the opening line, "This is Jeopardy!" with host, Alex Trebek (Disclosure Alert: we once sat in the studio audience of a filming of the show in LA. Our daughter chatted up Alex during the commercial break).
Watson was positioned at the center podium and competed against the two all-time high scoring contestants, Ken Jennings and Brad Rutter. Poor Ken and Brad. Watson's winnings over the three days of the tournament were $77,147 compared to Jennings' $24,000 and Rutter's $21,600. Watching the show, I was impressed with how adept Watson was at answering questions filled with the usual twists on topics and language that are part of the Jeopardy game. But it was also clear that Watson got some things wildly wrong. His answer to a question about U.S. Cities was Toronto. That seems like something that would have been easily ruled out in the programming of his logic circuits. Nonetheless, Watson is an impressive advance in NLP and IBM now hopes to perfect the technology for many other fields including medical diagnostics.
The second program that I saw last night was Nova's "The Crash of Flight 447", which described in harrowing detail the final minutes of the Air France flight that disappeared over the Atlantic on the night of May 31, 2009.
Nova assembled its own team of investigators to look into what might have caused one of the most modern aircraft in the skies, the Airbus A330, to tumble out of the sky. The official investigation is still ongoing and the Black Box and flight recorder have yet to be found in 15,000 feet of water in the mid-Atlantic. My short summary to the longer description given during the program is that the computer flying the plane was instrumental in the crash.
How could that be? The longer sequence of events was that Flight 447 encountered a very turbulent thunderstorm in the mid-Atlantic that caused all three of its airspeed sensors (called pitot tubes) to ice up and fail. The flight computer was in control of the aircraft and airspeed is a key parameter for the computer to perform its tasks. The lack of airspeed data caused the flight computer to start to go into a sequence of failure modes, starting with disengaging the autopilot and throttling back the engines. The pilots were instantly thrust into an extremely challenging situation with multiple cascading computer warnings coming at them as they manually tried to control the plane in heavy turbulence. Without accurate airspeed information, they were flying in an even more dangerous situation. Modern jets have very narrow windows of acceptable airspeed at cruising altitude. Changes in airspeed of as little as 10 knots either up or down can cause the plane's wings to stall (lose lift). When an aircraft stalls, the plane not only begins to rapidly descend, it also can go into a roll that can make recovery even more difficult.
The Nova team did a good job of demonstrating how pilots are supposed to avoid this problem. The Nova investigators recreated the conditions that the pilots of Flight 447 encountered that night in a flight simulator. The two pilots who "flew" the rerun did not know in advance what they were going to be facing in the simulator. The rerun began with the thunderstorm suddenly showing up on their radar and progressed to the loss of airspeed data and the flight computer issuing failure warnings. The standard procedure for pilots in such a situation is to increase engine power to 85 percent and adjust the rear elevators to 5 percent up-attitude. This always put the aircraft at a safe speed to avoid a stall. The pilots in the simulator did just what they were supposed to do and all went smoothly as they recovered control of the plane. But apparently, the pilots on Flight 447 were too busy or too distracted to follow this standard procedure. The result was the loss of over 200 people's lives in a terrible aircraft tragedy.
Some of the pilots interviewed on the Nova program commented on how today's generation of pilots have come to depend on the flight computer to fly the plane. They have too little experience with how to pull an out-of-control plane back to safety if the flight computer fails. Having seen the pilots in the flight simulator follow the standard procedure of thrust and attitude adjustment, I wonder why the flight computer wasn't programmed to do the same thing when the loss of airspeed data started a sequence of failures? Why depend on the pilots for this first safety measure? Why doesn't the computer just do it and then alert the pilots to what had been implemented as part of the safety program to maintain control? The program made clear that the flight computers are currently programmed to prevent pilots from maneuvering the plane in some way that would cause loss of control. Why not in the loss of airspeed data situation?
Clearly, we are still in the infancy of computer intelligence whether it be computers like Watson which understand the difficulties of how we communicate in our natural language or the more prescriptive computers that fly airplanes, manage nuclear power plants, or even control the inner workings of our automobiles. Much more is needed and certainly will be built into the computers in the future to enhance what we like to call intelligence. Computers are being built to mimic what humans can do under the best of circumstances. Surpassing what humans can do is what Ray Kurzweil, the computer and music guru, calls The Singularity. He thinks it is coming in the next decade or so. I am not so sure. But I am sure that it will happen in the first half of this century. Then, like the computer, HAL in 2001: A Space Odyssey, we will be in a strange new world where the computer might say as it did, "I can't allow you to do that, Dave". In the meantime, computers can be fun to watch or, under rare circumstances, they can create monumental tragedies.
[You can watch the entire Nova episode on the PBS website here.]
The first was the IBM Watson Challenge on Jeopardy. If you haven't been tracking this story, IBM has created a new computing system for its latest corporate Grand Challenge: a machine smart enough to understand Natural Language Processing (NLP). In past Grand Challenges, IBM created a chess-playing computer it named Big Blue which was able to beat Grand Chessmaster, Garry Kasparov, and another computer dubbed Blue Gene (Big Blue + Genome) which was used to sequence DNA. For the current challenge, the IBM team named their computer Watson after IBM founder Tom Watson whose standing directive to his employees was "Think". IBM's R&D lab wanted to take on a tough challenge and they felt that hardly anything could be tougher for a computer than being able to compete successfully on the television quiz-show, Jeopardy. Who isn't familiar with the opening line, "This is Jeopardy!" with host, Alex Trebek (Disclosure Alert: we once sat in the studio audience of a filming of the show in LA. Our daughter chatted up Alex during the commercial break).
Watson was positioned at the center podium and competed against the two all-time high scoring contestants, Ken Jennings and Brad Rutter. Poor Ken and Brad. Watson's winnings over the three days of the tournament were $77,147 compared to Jennings' $24,000 and Rutter's $21,600. Watching the show, I was impressed with how adept Watson was at answering questions filled with the usual twists on topics and language that are part of the Jeopardy game. But it was also clear that Watson got some things wildly wrong. His answer to a question about U.S. Cities was Toronto. That seems like something that would have been easily ruled out in the programming of his logic circuits. Nonetheless, Watson is an impressive advance in NLP and IBM now hopes to perfect the technology for many other fields including medical diagnostics.
The second program that I saw last night was Nova's "The Crash of Flight 447", which described in harrowing detail the final minutes of the Air France flight that disappeared over the Atlantic on the night of May 31, 2009.
Watch the full episode. See more NOVA.
Nova assembled its own team of investigators to look into what might have caused one of the most modern aircraft in the skies, the Airbus A330, to tumble out of the sky. The official investigation is still ongoing and the Black Box and flight recorder have yet to be found in 15,000 feet of water in the mid-Atlantic. My short summary to the longer description given during the program is that the computer flying the plane was instrumental in the crash.
How could that be? The longer sequence of events was that Flight 447 encountered a very turbulent thunderstorm in the mid-Atlantic that caused all three of its airspeed sensors (called pitot tubes) to ice up and fail. The flight computer was in control of the aircraft and airspeed is a key parameter for the computer to perform its tasks. The lack of airspeed data caused the flight computer to start to go into a sequence of failure modes, starting with disengaging the autopilot and throttling back the engines. The pilots were instantly thrust into an extremely challenging situation with multiple cascading computer warnings coming at them as they manually tried to control the plane in heavy turbulence. Without accurate airspeed information, they were flying in an even more dangerous situation. Modern jets have very narrow windows of acceptable airspeed at cruising altitude. Changes in airspeed of as little as 10 knots either up or down can cause the plane's wings to stall (lose lift). When an aircraft stalls, the plane not only begins to rapidly descend, it also can go into a roll that can make recovery even more difficult.
The Nova team did a good job of demonstrating how pilots are supposed to avoid this problem. The Nova investigators recreated the conditions that the pilots of Flight 447 encountered that night in a flight simulator. The two pilots who "flew" the rerun did not know in advance what they were going to be facing in the simulator. The rerun began with the thunderstorm suddenly showing up on their radar and progressed to the loss of airspeed data and the flight computer issuing failure warnings. The standard procedure for pilots in such a situation is to increase engine power to 85 percent and adjust the rear elevators to 5 percent up-attitude. This always put the aircraft at a safe speed to avoid a stall. The pilots in the simulator did just what they were supposed to do and all went smoothly as they recovered control of the plane. But apparently, the pilots on Flight 447 were too busy or too distracted to follow this standard procedure. The result was the loss of over 200 people's lives in a terrible aircraft tragedy.
Some of the pilots interviewed on the Nova program commented on how today's generation of pilots have come to depend on the flight computer to fly the plane. They have too little experience with how to pull an out-of-control plane back to safety if the flight computer fails. Having seen the pilots in the flight simulator follow the standard procedure of thrust and attitude adjustment, I wonder why the flight computer wasn't programmed to do the same thing when the loss of airspeed data started a sequence of failures? Why depend on the pilots for this first safety measure? Why doesn't the computer just do it and then alert the pilots to what had been implemented as part of the safety program to maintain control? The program made clear that the flight computers are currently programmed to prevent pilots from maneuvering the plane in some way that would cause loss of control. Why not in the loss of airspeed data situation?
Clearly, we are still in the infancy of computer intelligence whether it be computers like Watson which understand the difficulties of how we communicate in our natural language or the more prescriptive computers that fly airplanes, manage nuclear power plants, or even control the inner workings of our automobiles. Much more is needed and certainly will be built into the computers in the future to enhance what we like to call intelligence. Computers are being built to mimic what humans can do under the best of circumstances. Surpassing what humans can do is what Ray Kurzweil, the computer and music guru, calls The Singularity. He thinks it is coming in the next decade or so. I am not so sure. But I am sure that it will happen in the first half of this century. Then, like the computer, HAL in 2001: A Space Odyssey, we will be in a strange new world where the computer might say as it did, "I can't allow you to do that, Dave". In the meantime, computers can be fun to watch or, under rare circumstances, they can create monumental tragedies.
[You can watch the entire Nova episode on the PBS website here.]
Sunday, January 23, 2011
Floating Palaces
[Note to readers: with this post, I am now offering images that can be enlarged by clicking on them. Often, the detail in the enlarged image greatly enhances the beauty of the picture. If the image can be enlarged, the mouse arrow will change to a hand when hovered over the image.]
Floating Palace: you don't hear the term much anymore but at one time it was the supreme compliment for a passenger-carrying ship. Rich paneling, gilded fixtures, lush carpeting, detailed Corinthian columns supporting a dome or skylight, grand staircases - a Floating Palace had all of these and more. Often (but not always), the words were used to describe an ocean liner. The steamboats which plied America's lakes and rivers in the 19th century also cultivated business by offering sumptuous furnishings and decor.
Scanning the fascinating photographs in the Library of Congress archives, I came across this photo which seemed filled with a melancholy for the past. The image was entitled, "Old Boats Beached to Rot Away, New York City."
This photo is part of the Detroit Publishing Company archive at the LOC. The date could only be determined to be sometime between 1900 and 1910. The large steamboat in the left background can be easily seen to be the the Drew in this enlargement of a segment of the picture below:
The poignancy of the image captured my imagination and I wanted to know more. I did a little googling and learned that the Steamer Drew was built in 1865-66 for the People's Line, a company that operated steamboats on the Hudson River between New York City and Albany. The line specialized in so-called "night boats", steamboats with sleeping cabins to accommodate overnight trips. The Drew might have been named for Daniel Drew, one of the shrewdest steamboat operators and Wall Street investors of the 19th century but I couldn't find documentation for this and there was already an earlier steamboat named the Daniel Drew sailing the Hudson.
The Drew cost $800,000 to build, an enormous sum in the closing days of the Civil War, and was equipped to handle the tastes of even the wealthiest of clients. The ship was almost 400 feet in length and had 284 staterooms on three tiers of decks. The ship was powered by a vertical walking-beam engine having an 81 inch cylinder with a 14 foot stroke. That is a massive single-piston engine! Steam to feed the engine was supplied by two boilers mounted out on the external edges of the ship behind the paddlewheels. In the photo above, the boilers and side-mounted paddlewheels have already been stripped off the old ship.
The Drew sailed without incident for over 30 years with its sister ship, the Dean Richmond. In the fall of 1896, the new steamboat, Adirondack, was added to the People's Line. The Drew continued to carry passengers for a few more years but was finally retired in August of 1901. The ship was sold to J.H. Gregory of Perth Amboy, New Jersey to be scrapped. Unfortunately, the retired steamship burned to the waterline from a fire of undetermined origins on July 2, 1902. The picture above must date from sometime between August 1901 and July 1902. If you look closely at the image, you can see some men in the wreckage near the bow of the ship. Were these workmen or were they vagrants looking for something to plunder and were perhaps the source of the fire?
Further searching of the Library of Congress archives turned up a beautiful Currier and Ives print of the Drew that was published in 1876 at the height of her glory.
The external boiler is clearly visible on the near side of the ship behind the paddlewheel. In fact, the semi-circular box that enclosed the upper half of the paddlewheel was a work of art in its own right. As you can see in the magnified view below, the paddlebox was painted to mimic the interior ceiling of the Pantheon in Rome, complete with painted sculptures on either end of the arc.
The Drew was only one of hundreds of steamboats that sailed the Hudson in the century following Robert Fulton's steamboat, North River (often called the Claremont), which first sailed in 1807. Many of these ships, including the Drew, became legends in their own time. We have nothing like them today except perhaps the ever-bigger oceangoing cruise ships that have become small cities on water. They, too, are Floating Palaces but somehow they seem to lack the grace of the old steamboats of the Hudson. The real Queens of the Waters are gone forever.
Floating Palace: you don't hear the term much anymore but at one time it was the supreme compliment for a passenger-carrying ship. Rich paneling, gilded fixtures, lush carpeting, detailed Corinthian columns supporting a dome or skylight, grand staircases - a Floating Palace had all of these and more. Often (but not always), the words were used to describe an ocean liner. The steamboats which plied America's lakes and rivers in the 19th century also cultivated business by offering sumptuous furnishings and decor.
Scanning the fascinating photographs in the Library of Congress archives, I came across this photo which seemed filled with a melancholy for the past. The image was entitled, "Old Boats Beached to Rot Away, New York City."
![]() | ||
Old Boats Beached to Rot Away |
![]() | |||
Steamer Drew |
The Drew cost $800,000 to build, an enormous sum in the closing days of the Civil War, and was equipped to handle the tastes of even the wealthiest of clients. The ship was almost 400 feet in length and had 284 staterooms on three tiers of decks. The ship was powered by a vertical walking-beam engine having an 81 inch cylinder with a 14 foot stroke. That is a massive single-piston engine! Steam to feed the engine was supplied by two boilers mounted out on the external edges of the ship behind the paddlewheels. In the photo above, the boilers and side-mounted paddlewheels have already been stripped off the old ship.
![]() |
Ad from 1900 magazine |
Further searching of the Library of Congress archives turned up a beautiful Currier and Ives print of the Drew that was published in 1876 at the height of her glory.
The external boiler is clearly visible on the near side of the ship behind the paddlewheel. In fact, the semi-circular box that enclosed the upper half of the paddlewheel was a work of art in its own right. As you can see in the magnified view below, the paddlebox was painted to mimic the interior ceiling of the Pantheon in Rome, complete with painted sculptures on either end of the arc.
The Drew was only one of hundreds of steamboats that sailed the Hudson in the century following Robert Fulton's steamboat, North River (often called the Claremont), which first sailed in 1807. Many of these ships, including the Drew, became legends in their own time. We have nothing like them today except perhaps the ever-bigger oceangoing cruise ships that have become small cities on water. They, too, are Floating Palaces but somehow they seem to lack the grace of the old steamboats of the Hudson. The real Queens of the Waters are gone forever.
Sunday, January 16, 2011
Outside the Box
Ships have been with us for a long time. We all know what they look like - a long rectangular box with a pointed bow and rounded stern. A few structures somewhere on the top of the long box to provide a place for the crew to live and to operate the ship. A smokestack sticks up somewhere - usually towards the rear of the ship. What could be more ordinary? But why does it have to be that way? Why not think, if you allow me the little pun, outside the box?
Take a look at the ship in the picture below. Something just looks... well... different about this ship, doesn't it? Whose slightly delirious dream was this?
The ship in the picture is the A.D. Thompson and it is a class of ship known affectionately to those who sailed them as a whaleback. Whalebacks were never used for whaling. Most of them (but not all) sailed on the Great Lakes. The name (nickname, really) came from the shape of the hull which looked like a whale's back sitting low in the water when the ship was fully loaded. The name was intended to be descriptive, even complimentary. If you look at the way the bow comes to a little flat point, you can immediately understand the origin of the other, more derogatory nickname - the pigboat.
The whaleback design was the brainchild of ship's master, serial-entrepreneur, and inventor, Alexander McDougall. McDougall was born in Scotland in 1845. His parents emigrated to the Lake Huron region of Ontario when he was a young boy. His father died when McDougall was only ten and he took up a variety of odd jobs to help feed his family. By his late teen years, he had signed on as a deckhand on a Great Lakes freighter. Being talented and hardworking, he rose rapidly and got his ship master's license when he was just 25, one of the youngest captains on the Great Lakes.
In the latter decades of the 19th century, the Great Lakes were the Northern highway for bulk freight traffic as lumber, iron ore, and grain were shipped from the western regions to the population centers in the East. The Great Lakes were home to hundreds of ships. At first, these were schooners and other forms of sailing ships, but steam engines rapidly took over as the means to power these ships. The size of the ships wasn't initially limited by the steam engines, it was limited by the small canals, channels, and locks that the ships had to navigate. To increase the amount of tonnage that could be hauled on each trip, smaller ships began towing small barges (sometimes called consorts). McDougall was an experienced captain and he knew the difficulties of pulling these unpowered hulls, often through large waves and high winds. Towing a barge could be a decidedly tricky task, more-so as the weather got bad.
McDougall began thinking about how to design a better barge. He wanted the most volume for the least perimeter, the least resistance to winds and waves, and a shallow-draft design that could be moored at docks with only a limited depth of water. His innovation was his patented hull design, later dubbed the whaleback. McDougall built his first consort, named simply Hull No. 101, over the winter of 1887-1888. It was a technical success. But when McDougall tried to raise capital to build more consorts using his novel design, he was met with derision by the experienced businessmen around the Great Lakes. Undaunted, he headed to New York where he enlisted the financial backing of several Eastern capitalists including John D. Rockefeller.
McDougall founded the American Steel Barge Company in 1889 and began building his cheap, efficient barges in Duluth, Minnesota. After he had built five whaleback consort vessels, McDougall moved his entire shipbuilding operation next door to Superior, Wisconsin. In 1890, McDougall built his first self-powered whaleback steamer, the Colgate Hoyt (named for one of his first financial backers). This ship cost just a little more than twice the cost of one of his unpowered barges and could steam at 16 knots - very respectable for its day.
In 1893, McDougall built his only whaleback passenger ship, the Christopher Columbus. The ship was used to ferry passengers from downtown Chicago, six miles south to the World's Columbian Exposition. Following the Exposition, the passenger ship was placed in regular service between Cleveland and Chicago.
While McDougall's innovative vessels proved themselves to be workable, the design never caught on. Whalebacks suffered from a few practical limitations: the curve of the hull made the hatch openings smaller than on conventional ships and barges. This also made the hatches more prone to being bent in the loading and unloading process. The hatches were expensive to repair. The design also lacked a protected passageway below decks from the front to the back of the ship making it difficult for the crew to communicate in rough weather (remember that this was before radio was invented). Mostly though, the design just didn't look good to the more established shipping company owners. The American Steel Barge Company was eventually absorbed into the American Ship Building Company in the late 1890s.
McDougall, ever the entrepreneur, didn't limit himself to ship design. He operated a company that managed over a thousand stevedores on various Great Lakes docks. He owned an insurance company that wrote policies on Great Lakes shipping. He sat on the board of directors of several electric companies. And in 1899, after selling the whaleback company, he bought the Collingwood (Ontario) Shipbuilding Company, reorganized it, and ran it successfully for many more years building conventional ships.
McDougall died in 1924. While his vision of a new type of hull did not have the impact that he had hoped for, he was able to demonstrate that his technical ideas were highly workable. The whaleback ships were gradually scrapped out over the years. One, the Thomas Wilson, lies at the bottom of Lake Michigan just outside the Milwaukee harbor entrance and is a popular diving destination.
Now, only one whaleback remains in existence. The S.S. Meteor has been slowly rusting away as a museum ship in Superior, Wisconsin, where it was built in 1896. When she's gone, none of these daring and innovative ships will remain. But the old photos still tell the tale of the days when the whalebacks were the talk of the Lakes.
Take a look at the ship in the picture below. Something just looks... well... different about this ship, doesn't it? Whose slightly delirious dream was this?
![]() |
Steamer A.D. Thompson Library of Congress Collections |
The ship in the picture is the A.D. Thompson and it is a class of ship known affectionately to those who sailed them as a whaleback. Whalebacks were never used for whaling. Most of them (but not all) sailed on the Great Lakes. The name (nickname, really) came from the shape of the hull which looked like a whale's back sitting low in the water when the ship was fully loaded. The name was intended to be descriptive, even complimentary. If you look at the way the bow comes to a little flat point, you can immediately understand the origin of the other, more derogatory nickname - the pigboat.
The whaleback design was the brainchild of ship's master, serial-entrepreneur, and inventor, Alexander McDougall. McDougall was born in Scotland in 1845. His parents emigrated to the Lake Huron region of Ontario when he was a young boy. His father died when McDougall was only ten and he took up a variety of odd jobs to help feed his family. By his late teen years, he had signed on as a deckhand on a Great Lakes freighter. Being talented and hardworking, he rose rapidly and got his ship master's license when he was just 25, one of the youngest captains on the Great Lakes.
In the latter decades of the 19th century, the Great Lakes were the Northern highway for bulk freight traffic as lumber, iron ore, and grain were shipped from the western regions to the population centers in the East. The Great Lakes were home to hundreds of ships. At first, these were schooners and other forms of sailing ships, but steam engines rapidly took over as the means to power these ships. The size of the ships wasn't initially limited by the steam engines, it was limited by the small canals, channels, and locks that the ships had to navigate. To increase the amount of tonnage that could be hauled on each trip, smaller ships began towing small barges (sometimes called consorts). McDougall was an experienced captain and he knew the difficulties of pulling these unpowered hulls, often through large waves and high winds. Towing a barge could be a decidedly tricky task, more-so as the weather got bad.
McDougall began thinking about how to design a better barge. He wanted the most volume for the least perimeter, the least resistance to winds and waves, and a shallow-draft design that could be moored at docks with only a limited depth of water. His innovation was his patented hull design, later dubbed the whaleback. McDougall built his first consort, named simply Hull No. 101, over the winter of 1887-1888. It was a technical success. But when McDougall tried to raise capital to build more consorts using his novel design, he was met with derision by the experienced businessmen around the Great Lakes. Undaunted, he headed to New York where he enlisted the financial backing of several Eastern capitalists including John D. Rockefeller.
![]() |
Two whaleback consorts in tow out of Poe Lock Sault Ste. Marie, Michigan Library of Congress Collections |
McDougall founded the American Steel Barge Company in 1889 and began building his cheap, efficient barges in Duluth, Minnesota. After he had built five whaleback consort vessels, McDougall moved his entire shipbuilding operation next door to Superior, Wisconsin. In 1890, McDougall built his first self-powered whaleback steamer, the Colgate Hoyt (named for one of his first financial backers). This ship cost just a little more than twice the cost of one of his unpowered barges and could steam at 16 knots - very respectable for its day.
In 1893, McDougall built his only whaleback passenger ship, the Christopher Columbus. The ship was used to ferry passengers from downtown Chicago, six miles south to the World's Columbian Exposition. Following the Exposition, the passenger ship was placed in regular service between Cleveland and Chicago.
![]() |
S.S. Christopher Columbus Only Whaleback Passenger Ship Ever Built |
McDougall, ever the entrepreneur, didn't limit himself to ship design. He operated a company that managed over a thousand stevedores on various Great Lakes docks. He owned an insurance company that wrote policies on Great Lakes shipping. He sat on the board of directors of several electric companies. And in 1899, after selling the whaleback company, he bought the Collingwood (Ontario) Shipbuilding Company, reorganized it, and ran it successfully for many more years building conventional ships.
McDougall died in 1924. While his vision of a new type of hull did not have the impact that he had hoped for, he was able to demonstrate that his technical ideas were highly workable. The whaleback ships were gradually scrapped out over the years. One, the Thomas Wilson, lies at the bottom of Lake Michigan just outside the Milwaukee harbor entrance and is a popular diving destination.
Now, only one whaleback remains in existence. The S.S. Meteor has been slowly rusting away as a museum ship in Superior, Wisconsin, where it was built in 1896. When she's gone, none of these daring and innovative ships will remain. But the old photos still tell the tale of the days when the whalebacks were the talk of the Lakes.
![]() |
S.S. Meteor Superior, Wisconsin |
Sunday, January 9, 2011
The Early Automobile Era: 1895 - 1910
![]() |
Library of Congress Image Detroit Publishing Company Collection |
The story of America and the automobile has been going on for over a century. We love our cars. We love the sense of freedom they bring. But it is much, much more complicated than that. Cars are modes of transportation, status symbols, a way to express who we want to be, and one of the mainstays of our economy. They have changed how and where we live, how we work, who we know, and even how some of us will die.
Let's play a little association game. Don't try to be to self-conscious about this. Just remember the first thing that pops into your head when I say a word. Ready?
Automobile
Now don't edit it. What image came to mind - because it will most likely be an image. Here's another:
Model-T
Did you think Henry Ford? Old-fashioned? How about these words:
General Motors
The quick image, now. Bailout? Your father's Oldsmobile/Chevrolet/Buick? Crappy quality?
We could play this game forever and in fact, Americans a century ago could have played the same game. The automobile began to encroach on our collective and historic lives as far back as 1895 but the wheel really got rolling (bad pun intended) in the first few years of the 20th century. How some of that happened is the focus of a now out-of-print book entitled, America Adopts the Automobile, 1895 - 1910, written by James J. Flink and published by the MIT Press in 1970.
I came across this book in a used bookstore and I just had to buy it. Something about those founding days of the automobile industry fascinate me. Actually, the founding days of any industry fascinate me - but I digress. The years covered in Flink's book were a period when we were thunderstruck by this glorious machine and willingly made the Faustian bargain to trade our very souls to become (in the term of the day) automobilists. Flink, who was not a historian of technology but a historian of American culture, wrote a number of books about the automobile but this was his first and it is a good one.
This is not the usual book of over-hyped color photos of "American Classics". It is a thoughtful look at many aspects of how automobiles so rapidly became embedded in every aspect of our lives. In his 300+ page book, Flink used as his primary sources most of the motoring periodicals of the day such as Horseless Age, Motor Age, and The Motor Way. He also referenced a number of books written shortly after this embryonic period when first hand knowledge of the beginnings of the automobile industry was still abundant. There's plenty of data here and also some nice black-and-white car ads and car images that come out of the magazines of the day.
Why was the automobile so quickly adopted? Most people saw very quickly that an automobile was cheaper and a heck of lot easier to keep (not to mention less cranky) than a horse pulling a buggy. For some occupations (such as the family doctor), the automobile allowed a more rapid and reliable way to get around town. Contrary to our usual image of early automobiles broken down on the side of the road, they were in fact quite reliable even in their earliest designs. What wasn't reliable was the tires on the car which gave endless reasons to the automobilist to curse until the tire technology finally began to catch up to the rest of the vehicle. Those early trips were measured more in number of tires changed than in miles per gallon.
Flink covers topics such as how and when automobiles first began to be licensed. At first, automobile registration was perennial. Do it once and you were done. Pretty quickly this proved to be impractical - not to mention the loss of tax revenue from annual renewals. In the earliest days, automobilists had to license their car in every state in which they planned to drive. Similar issues surrounded licensing of drivers. Not surprisingly, this came about after a few hot-headed drivers managed to mow down some pedestrians and wreak havoc on the local horse-and-buggy traffic.
Licensing and regulatory issues were just some of the reasons that local automobile clubs formed quickly in the first decade of the century. Clubs formed to allow enthusiasts to share their passion for the car but also to band together to build garages and maintenance facilities. In that first decade, townspeople didn't have garages and their automobile was more often a Sunday drive hobby. They needed a place to park. It was later that people began to recognize that their cars would get them to work more comfortably than they could get there on the streetcar. If the owner was wealthy enough to own a stable behind the house, Ol' Dobbin was turned out and the shiny new Hupmobile or Packard took his place.
Flink spends some pages discussing why the gasoline-powered automobile quickly came to dominate the steam and electric cars of those early days. He also describes the chaos of the early manufacturing market with literally hundreds of companies jumping in to try to catch the wave. How could so many people afford to start auto-making companies? The early car manufacturers had an ideal set of business conditions. People went crazy for cars and every car built was sold before it hit the end of the assembly line. All purchases were strictly cash and people lined up to plunk down their money. The auto companies were essentially assemblers who bought almost everything from suppliers and demanded that the suppliers bear the cost of all the parts inventory. Hence, very little capital was needed to get into the auto assembly business in this early stage. That all changed, of course. When Henry Ford introduced the Model-T in 1909, the jig was up for many of those still in the game. More than that, most of the early car makers had focused on building higher priced (and more profitable) cars for the middle and upper-class markets. By 1909, these markets were already saturated and the game was then to build a reliable, low-cost car for the mass market.
The book doesn't go beyond the introduction of the Model-T. The outcome of that era, though, is still evident everywhere we look: suburbs, a vast network of highways, acres of parking lots, air pollution, and roadside carnage. But there is no going back. Last week the venerable Ford Motor Company, which introduced the Model-T in 1909, announced its first all-electric car. GM already has the Chevy Volt and hybrids are becoming so common as to be non-events. Our love of the automobile will go on but it will never be the same as those days in the first decade of the 20th century that Flink so ably describes. Maybe the same will be said for our own day with the excitement about the internet and the social networking of the world. It looks great from here. We shall see... or rather our great-grandchildren shall see.
Wednesday, January 5, 2011
Of Photos and History
I love old photographs. They show the technologies of the past in ways that words often fail to convey. My last post described the Shorpy website which features a variety of images, mostly beautifully cleaned up images, from the Library of Congress Archives. I wanted to highlight two other websites I came across recently that are mashups of Google Maps and historical photos.
The first website is historypin. This recent entry out of the UK provides a unique way to combine old historical views (worldwide) of street scenes with the more recent Street Views available in Google Maps. The historical images can be switched on and off to allow you to see them superimposed on the way the street looks like today. The site encourages users to upload their own images although in the current beta release version uploads are limited to five per user. There is also a place to annotate the photos under what the site calls Stories. The site has a little over 29,000 photos "pinned" at this point and is definitely worth a look. There is a map view that lets you enter an address to see if there are any photos in locations that interest you. Your best bet at this point is to look at the larger cities.
The second website, similar in concept, is SepiaTown. This site also encourages you to upload your own images and shows the historical image in a side-by-side comparison with the current Google Street View of that location. The website allows viewers to leave comments or share the photos through various social networking sites. SepiaTown is also a relatively new entry and I haven't seen much in the way of posted comments but the photos are interesting and seem distinct from those on historypin.
All of these site are getting at a new way of social networking historical images. If they can get enough users, the power of the network will allow all of us to benefit with the accumulated knowledge that is in our collective heads. I hope they live long and prosper. But I think these sites are just the beginning experiments in how to plumb the depths of our knowledge about the more recent past. The pictures are interesting but they lack so many other ways in which they could be made even better. For example, how about building links to Wikipedia articles or automating a simple Google search of keywords. Which brings up another point: none of these sites allow tagging the images which would help to build out a set of images. Other connections could include the vast libraries of online images in Flickr, Picasa, or any number of other photo sharing websites. Online databases of historical newspaper articles could supplement the images in some cases. Just some thoughts.
If you know of any other websites like these or have any other suggestions on how sites like these could be improved, I would appreciate hearing about them. Drop me a comment!
All of these site are getting at a new way of social networking historical images. If they can get enough users, the power of the network will allow all of us to benefit with the accumulated knowledge that is in our collective heads. I hope they live long and prosper. But I think these sites are just the beginning experiments in how to plumb the depths of our knowledge about the more recent past. The pictures are interesting but they lack so many other ways in which they could be made even better. For example, how about building links to Wikipedia articles or automating a simple Google search of keywords. Which brings up another point: none of these sites allow tagging the images which would help to build out a set of images. Other connections could include the vast libraries of online images in Flickr, Picasa, or any number of other photo sharing websites. Online databases of historical newspaper articles could supplement the images in some cases. Just some thoughts.
If you know of any other websites like these or have any other suggestions on how sites like these could be improved, I would appreciate hearing about them. Drop me a comment!
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